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Grindstone · 23-11-2006, 07:43 PM

The article is spot-on, meaning, the author has some very valid points of why people should avoid the PS3 at the moment. It says a lot (to me) about a company that launches 6 months after the original launch date [remember SPring `05?], and the product still feels like it is unfinished.

Obviously the Wii had a better launch, it was easier for them to secure the parts which date circa 2001... Old tech, cheap and familiar. Sony didn't have that luxury, also, there are over 2000 parts going into the PS3, which is about 700 more than the 360, so they have more manufacturing issues than the Wii/360 as well.

But, despite all that, I do not think Sony's hegemony will ever overcome the 360/Wii combo now. Sorry, the PS2 only started selling like hot-cakes after the price dropped below $200. It took about 2 years for it to reach that number.

Let's look at it from this angle: it took 5 years for the PS2 to go from $300 to $129, or 44% of it's original price. If the PS3 followed the same route, then in 5 years, the PS3 will be $240. I know we talk about casual gamers being the main-stay for the PS franchise, but at what price do the casual gamers kick-in?

The PS3 just lost 3 more exclusives this week: Armored Core 4, Fatal Inertia and some other that escapes me at the moment. With the weak install base, there is less drive for developers to stick with a certain console (in this case, the PS3). I see them losing more exclusives, many more, in the short future.

I know competition is important for this industry, but the reality is that Sony screwed the pooch with this latest installment. And it'll be a while before the PS3 is a noteworthy purchase. I do not think it'll ever garner the momentum needed to be #1, there are too many variables against it.

23-11-2006, 07:43 PM	#17 (permalink)
Grindstone Emeritus Mod Join Date: Jul 2005 Posts: 1,875	The article is spot-on, meaning, the author has some very valid points of why people should avoid the PS3 at the moment. It says a lot (to me) about a company that launches 6 months after the original launch date [remember SPring `05?], and the product still feels like it is unfinished. Obviously the Wii had a better launch, it was easier for them to secure the parts which date circa 2001... Old tech, cheap and familiar. Sony didn't have that luxury, also, there are over 2000 parts going into the PS3, which is about 700 more than the 360, so they have more manufacturing issues than the Wii/360 as well. But, despite all that, I do not think Sony's hegemony will ever overcome the 360/Wii combo now. Sorry, the PS2 only started selling like hot-cakes after the price dropped below $200. It took about 2 years for it to reach that number. Let's look at it from this angle: it took 5 years for the PS2 to go from $300 to $129, or 44% of it's original price. If the PS3 followed the same route, then in 5 years, the PS3 will be $240. I know we talk about casual gamers being the main-stay for the PS franchise, but at what price do the casual gamers kick-in? The PS3 just lost 3 more exclusives this week: Armored Core 4, Fatal Inertia and some other that escapes me at the moment. With the weak install base, there is less drive for developers to stick with a certain console (in this case, the PS3). I see them losing more exclusives, many more, in the short future. I know competition is important for this industry, but the reality is that Sony screwed the pooch with this latest installment. And it'll be a while before the PS3 is a noteworthy purchase. I do not think it'll ever garner the momentum needed to be #1, there are too many variables against it.